Baseball betting tips -
MLB Odds can vary greatly from sportsbook to sportsbook which is one of the advantages we have and why bookmakers like MLB less than the other major market sports. It is also why MLB limits are often lower than the NFL and NBA. At Doc's Sports we look at each game and ask ourselves, out of bets, are we going to come out on top of this MLB moneyline?
We don't sell our picks based on the popularity of the teams, or if the game is a prime time nationally televised event like many "pro" cappers do in order to maximize their sales. Almost like computer picks we prefer to pick apart each game without limiting our experts to prime time events or teams in contention.
If MLB handicappers thinks that the worst team in the league has value over the second worse team, then that is the MLB selection the client will receive.
Taking sides isn't the only way to bet on a baseball game. When taking a look at baseball betting totals, pitching matchups are obviously the first stop in the research. The MLB handicappers at Doc's Sports spend countless hours sifting through matchup reports, game splits and H2H numbers as well as their own unique factors, in order to best highlight the most profitable total bets on the board each and every day.
If a particular pitcher has been red hot of late but has traditionally struggled against lefties we may use that information in a given game.
A pitcher may face a lineup that is southpaw heavy which can dictate an over bet despite the pitcher's recent dominance. Another consideration when looking at MLB totals, where handicapping other sports is not a factor, is the specific venue of the game.
Games that take place in the thin air of Coors Field in Colorado are notoriously high scoring and can see totals that reach 13 or more. On the flipside, fields like Petco Park see run numbers almost.
We know being home or away amounts to points in every sport but the physical Venue has relatively little impact in other leagues. You might see basketball teams in Denver score less because of altitude, having the opposite effect on MLB scoring as shown here. However, an even bigger factor is the bookmaker overreacting to these situations and thereby creating value with their pricing.
Additionally, we provide free MLB total picks intended to aid in easing the legwork our readers have to do themselves. While MLB parlay picks can often be viewed as 'sucker bets', the MLB might be the best sport for taking a chance on those multi-team wagers. Parlays require that players bet on 2, 3, 4 or even 10 separate games on a single betting slip.
Unlike parlaying other sports, it is all or nothing for moneyline MLB parlay bettors! You either win each leg or lose the entire parlay. For those MLB bettors who love the thrill of playing on the train tracks, big underdog odds can lead to massive payouts but require a lot of work and an understanding that winning droughts in underdog betting is part of a winning MLB betting season!
Along with NHL Hockey, properly playing MLB parlays can really take your baseball betting to the next level. One of the more popular parlay bets in the MLB is to combine an underdog with a bet under the total. Essentially, you're hoping the underdog can keep the favorites from lighting them up and eke out a close win.
While the risk is greater, a three-team MLB parlay will usually pay out around 6 to 1. At Doc's, our MLB professional handicappers will offer free MLB parlay picks on the rare occasion that the value is there for our customers.
The downside of parlay betting is that we do not have the opportunity to make our selections through multiple baseball sportsbooks. That means no line shopping and we must find value at the market average price. It is also why parlay bets are a rare occurrence in Doc's premium MLB selections.
Once the calendar hits October and the regular season ends, the MLB much like other sports, sees an influx of public betting action. This increase in betting the playoffs is for two reasons.
One, people bet on the more exciting and meaningful games and series. Two, more bettors are at the counter because football is also in full swing and the NBA is about to begin. Bettors have fewer games to sift through, but the square action can shift many lines into the favor of more patient or careful bettors.
At Doc's we identify games where the public betting has created value. MLB baseball in the playoffs comes down to pitching stats, both starting and out of the bullpen.
Handicapping pitchers is a skill in itself. That usually only happens if you have a last place team playing at a first-place team and also facing a top-quality pitcher.
But those teams can and do win. This is because when you lose an underdog bet, you only lose what you risked. Losing a bet on a favorite will cost you much more. Smart bettors take out the emotional aspect of placing wagers.
First off, starting pitchers are different each game, which can cause vast differences in lineups and the way one team plans to face the other. Weather can also play a factor one day but not the next. This can influence odds on popular teams like the New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs, and Los Angeles Dodgers.
Other gamblers will also avoid placing bets for or against their favorite team, as bias can creep in on a personal level. The bottom line here is to stick with statistics. Check out how starting pitchers have fared in their last five or 10 games to give you a large enough sample size, injuries each team is facing, home and away records of the respective teams, and how the two teams have done in other head-to-head matchups this season.
Lines generally move throughout the day based on how the public is betting on the game. Sometimes, however, you see reverse line movement. This is when most of the money is being bet on one team but the line moves in the other direction.
Reverse line movement would be if the Mets were then at despite the most of the bets being placed on them. The house can tell when a savvy bettor has made a move, so they will change the line accordingly even though most casual bettors are going in the other direction.
So if you spot reverse line movement, place a wager on the team where the smart money is going. Historical looks at these types of bets have proven to be profitable over a span of several years.
The primary example here are teams that play within the same division. Teams in the same division play each other at least 18 times per season, while teams face non-division rivals only a maximum of seven times.
More head-to-head matchups mean more data is at your disposal on how each team fares against the other. While weather may not necessarily favor one team over the other, it does play a part in betting on run totals. The Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins face off on Wednesday in Game 4 of their ALDS series at Target….
David Racey October 10, at PM EDT. The Baltimore Orioles will play the Texas Rangers in Game 3 of their series on Tuesday night at Globe….
Shane Mickle October 10, at PM EDT. The Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins face off on Tuesday in Game 3 of their ALDS series at Target Field. Shane Mickle October 9, at PM EDT.
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks face off on Monday in an MLB showdown at Dodger Stadium. The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves face off on Monday in Game 2 of their NLDS series at SunTrust….
David Racey October 8, at PM EDT. The Minnesota Twins will play the Houston Astros in Game 2 of the ALDS on Sunday night at Minute Maid….
The Texas Rangers will play the Baltimore Orioles in Game 2 of the ALDS on Sunday afternoon at Camden…. David Racey October 7, at PM EDT. The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 1 of the NLDS on Saturday night at…. Shane Mickle October 7, at PM EDT.
The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves face off on Saturday in Game 1 of their NLDS series at SunTrust….
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